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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid · Alineaciones y previa

Simulador fantasy: Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid

Marcador probable y puntos de cada jugador en el partido simulado

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Deterministic simulation · model v3
Real MadridReal Madrid
21
Projected scorexG 2.21.0 · 2000 simulations
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Real Madrid 66%Draw 19%Atletico Madrid 15%
Most likely scores2-010%2-110%1-09%
MVP
Foto de Álvaro Morata

Álvaro Morata

Best of the simulated match

14.4Avg. 5.8

One simulated match

The representative scenario of the simulation, consistent with the projected score.

  1. 71'Vinícius Júnior
  2. 71'Kroos · ast. Nacho
  3. 🟨79'J. Giménez
  4. 81'Álvaro Morata · ast. Samuel Lino
  5. 🟨86'Koke
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Not in this scenario (13)
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Not in this scenario (15)

Simulation based on expected goals (xG), recent form and each player's role. The scores use the same engine as the real matches. The result is always the same for this match.

How to read the simulation

  • Goal
  • Assist
  • Clean sheet (did not concede)
  • Captain
  • Usual range (P10–P90)
  • 8.5Points in the simulated match

How it works

A model that combines real data with 2000 simulations of the match to anticipate what may happen.

  1. 📊1

    Starts from real data

    It takes the match's expected goals (xG) and each player's recent form across their last matches, counting all competitions: who shoots, who creates play and who defends.

  2. 🎲2

    Plays the match 2000 times

    Instead of guessing a result, it simulates the match 2000 times to measure who wins, how the goals are shared and the range of what can happen.

  3. 🎯3

    Shares by merit

    Goals and assists fall to whoever has the best chances given their position and performance, not at random. Each player performs as they usually do.

  4. ⚙️4

    Scores like reality

    Each performance is scored with the same points engine we use for matches already played. No different formulas: the simulated counts the same as the real.

🔒

Always the same result

The simulation is deterministic: for this match you will see exactly the same numbers every time you come back. It is not a bet and does not change on reload, it is a calculated scenario.